Insight

Significant Changes Ahead: CMS Doubles Down on Value-Based Care In Proposed 2027 Medicare Rule

By Danielle Feldman and Olivia Balderes

July 17, 2026

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has released its proposed 2027 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule (PFS) and Quality Payment Program rule, signaling one of the most significant Medicare policy updates in recent years. While the proposal continues to put pressure on traditional physician reimbursement, it also reinforces CMS’s long-term commitment to expanding accountable care, modernizing quality reporting, and shifting healthcare from treating illness to promoting prevention.

For healthcare organizations, the message is clear: Medicare reimbursement will increasingly reward care coordination and population health management.

Strengthening the Medicare Shared Savings Program

CMS is proposing several enhancements to the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP), reflecting the agency’s continued investment in accountable care by strengthening the financial sustainability of participating ACOs, expanding incentives, refining beneficiary alignment methodologies to increase ACO attribution, supporting continued program growth, and reducing administrative burden.

Proposed changes include enhanced shared savings opportunities, benchmark rebasing modifications that allow more previously generated savings to be reflected in future benchmarks, new incentives for first-time participants, more predictable benchmarking methodologies, streamlined reporting requirements, and greater flexibility for eligible ACOs to reduce beneficiary cost sharing beginning in 2027.

These proposals build on MSSP’s continued success. In performance year 2024, participating ACOs generated approximately $2.5 billion in net savings for the Medicare Trust Funds while earning more than $4.1 billion1 in shared savings payments, marking the program’s eighth consecutive year of net savings.

CHS Perspective: CMS continues to strengthen accountable care as the foundation of Medicare’s value-based strategy by improving financial incentives and reducing barriers to participation.

Advancing the Next Generation of Quality Reporting

CMS is also proposing to sunset traditional Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS) reporting after the 2028 performance year, transitioning clinicians to specialty-focused MIPS Value Pathways (MVPs). New MVPs focused on diabetes, hypertension, and hospital-based care, along with MIPS Core Measures, are intended to make quality reporting more clinically meaningful and streamlined.

CHS Perspective: CMS is moving away from broad compliance reporting toward specialty-specific quality measurement that better reflects clinical practice and patient outcomes.

Continued Evolution of Physician Payment

Alongside its value-based care initiatives, CMS proposes updates to the Physician Fee Schedule that better recognize care complexity, longitudinal care management, and coordinated care delivery.

CMS also proposes separate 2027 physician conversion factors of $33.17 for qualifying Alternative Payment Model (APM) participants and $32.84 for non-qualifying clinicians. Although these rates include the statutory MACRA updates and budget neutrality adjustments, both represent an overall decrease from 2026 due primarily to the expiration of the temporary 2.5% payment increase enacted by Congress.

CHS Perspective: Continued pressure on fee-for-service reimbursement further reinforces the strategic importance of value-based payment models. Organizations with strong care management, analytics, physician alignment, and population health capabilities will be better positioned for long-term success.

Looking Ahead

The proposed rule reinforces several trends shaping the future of Medicare:

  • Continued expansion of accountable care as Medicare’s preferred payment model
  • Greater emphasis on prevention, primary care engagement, and care coordination
  • More clinically meaningful and streamlined quality reporting
  • Increased operational flexibility for organizations participating in value-based care
  • Growing importance of population health infrastructure as fee-for-service reimbursement remains under pressure

The Bottom Line

The proposed 2027 Medicare rule reflects CMS’s continued commitment to transforming Medicare into a system centered on value, accountability, and better patient outcomes.

As these proposals move through the rulemaking process, healthcare organizations should evaluate their overall readiness for value-based care, with particular focus on how their current Medicare strategy is positioned for continued movement toward accountable, outcome-based reimbursement. Organizations that invest in analytics, care management, physician engagement, operational infrastructure, and alternative payment models will be best positioned to succeed as Medicare continues its transition toward outcome-based reimbursement. At COPE Health Solutions, we partner with providers, FQHCs, physician organizations, and health systems to navigate the evolving value-based care landscape. From MSSP strategy and ACO implementation to care management transformation, analytics, and operational readiness, we help organizations build the capabilities needed to thrive in an increasingly value-driven healthcare environment.

References

1 https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/cms-proposes-transformational-medicare-reforms-expand-accountable-care-modernize-physician-payment

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